Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+104/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Patriots to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
With a high 53.6% Route Participation Rate (91st percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.5 targets.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 3 points.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Packers safeties rank as the best group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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