Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson slots into the 91st percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 18.4 mark since the start of last season.
The Patriots O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 86.5% to 82.2%.