Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-172/+131).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his team's pass attack this season (11.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.3%).
The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving performance has improved this year, compiling 2.5 yards per game compared to just 1.1 last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in football.
The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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