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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-172/+131).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his team's pass attack this season (11.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.3%).
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving performance has improved this year, compiling 2.5 yards per game compared to just 1.1 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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