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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Patriots are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 3.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.6 plays per game.

Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 81.8% to 74.6%.

The Green Bay Packers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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