Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has posted a colossal 10.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Rhamondre Stevenson slots into the 91st percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 18.4 mark since the start of last season.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 86.5% to 82.2%.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this season shows a remarkable decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 8.4 rate.