Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 4.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the leading running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 26.0 yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 77.6% to 100.0%.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (75.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (75.6%).
The New York Jets linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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