Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Patriots rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 62.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 17.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.
Rhamondre Stevenson has put up a measly -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 9th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a mere 4.83 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 23rd percentile.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.