Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 6.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the most receiving yards per game in the league (50.0) versus running backs this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the league (86.9%) versus RBs this year (86.9%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
The New England Patriots O-line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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