Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among RBs, averaging an impressive 7.26 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 78th percentile.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the best RBs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 9.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Patriots rank as the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 60.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.7 plays per game.
Rhamondre Stevenson has compiled a meager -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 11th percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 29.0) vs. running backs since the start of last season.