Rhamondre Stevenson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-133/+104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rhamondre Stevenson has garnered 43.1% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 38.0% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see only 126.0 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Jacksonville's group of DEs has been fantastic since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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