Rhamondre Stevenson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 9, 2026 9:47 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/+104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to earn 15.3 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game in this game (58.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (36.7% in games he has played).
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst DT corps in the NFL last year with their run defense.

Favors Under

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The model projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

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