Rhamondre Stevenson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-121/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to see the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a less important option in his team's running game in this contest (40.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.5% in games he has played).
Cowboys defensive ends profile as the best DE corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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