Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Rex Burkhead

NFL · Player Props

Rex Burkhead

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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