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Rex Burkhead

Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the 7th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
  • Rex Burkhead's ground efficiency (3.48 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (9th percentile among RBs).

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