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Rex Burkhead
NFL · Player Props
Rex Burkhead
RB · Houston Texans
Receptions
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022 Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST
NFL Props Rex Burkhead Receptions

Rex Burkhead Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Favors Over
  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rex Burkhead to earn 4.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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