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Rex Burkhead

Rex Burkhead Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Rex Burkhead Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Rex Burkhead to garner 3.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 59.1 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Rex Burkhead has been among the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

The Houston Texans offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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