Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Ray-Ray McCloud

NFL · Player Props

Ray-Ray McCloud

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Ray-Ray McCloud to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.3% in games he has played).
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Ray-Ray McCloud's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 65.0% to 73.2%.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (70.4%) to wide receivers this year (70.4%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Ray-Ray McCloud's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 1.3 yards per game vs 2.4 last year.

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