Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Ray-Ray McCloud

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ray-Ray McCloud's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 66.1% to 73.6%.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The San Francisco 49ers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Ray-Ray McCloud has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this season (4.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.1%).