Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Ray-Ray McCloud

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+370/-748).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -710 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -748.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Ray-Ray McCloud to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the goal line this week (12.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Ray-Ray McCloud's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 65.0% to 73.2%.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (70.4%) to wide receivers this year (70.4%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Ray-Ray McCloud's 16.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 23.0.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.