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Ray-Ray McCloud

Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+370/-748).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -710 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -748.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ray-Ray McCloud to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the goal line this week (12.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Ray-Ray McCloud's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 65.0% to 73.2%.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (70.4%) to wide receivers this year (70.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
  • Ray-Ray McCloud's 16.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 23.0.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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