Rashod Bateman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-641).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Baltimore Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley.
With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rashod Bateman has compiled far more air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).
Rashod Bateman's 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a noteable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 56.2% rate.
Favors Under
The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (49.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Baltimore Ravens.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have only 123.7 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
This year, the imposing Bengals defense has surrendered a mere 58.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.