Rashod Bateman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-340).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Rashod Bateman has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Rashod Bateman's 67.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects an impressive gain in his receiving talent over last year's 56.2% figure.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up a massive 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the highest rate in the league.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Favors Under
This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 48.0% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Right now, the 2nd-most run-centric team in the league in the red zone (48.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Baltimore Ravens.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 124.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 52.3 plays per game.