Rashod Bateman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.
In this game, Rashod Bateman is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.2 targets.
The model projects Rashod Bateman to be much more involved in his team's passing game in this week's contest (20.8% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.2% in games he has played).
Rashod Bateman's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 56.2% to 67.8%.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (69.5%).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (only 52.2 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.