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Rashod Bateman

Rashod Bateman Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Rashod Bateman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Rashod Bateman to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game in this contest (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (12.3% in games he has played).

The Baltimore offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football last year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

Rashod Bateman rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in just 59.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 25th percentile among WRs

The Chiefs pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.6%) vs. WRs last year (61.6%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been excellent last year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

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