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Rashod Bateman

Rashod Bateman Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Rashod Bateman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.
  • Rashod Bateman's 66.0% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a substantial progression in his receiving skills over last year's 52.5% mark.
  • This year, the poor Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up a staggering 71.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.
  • Rashod Bateman has been a much smaller piece of his offense's air attack this year (10.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.8%).

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