Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-106/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to accumulate 6.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to be much more involved in his offense's pass game this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.9% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Rashod Bateman has been among the bottom wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 25th percentile.
The New York Jets pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.49 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.