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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Saints this year (a monstrous 65.5 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

Rashid Shaheed's 35.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 26.4.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.2%) vs. WRs this year (70.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Saints profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

Rashid Shaheed's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 81.7% to 63.5%.

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