Rashid Shaheed Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Rashid Shaheed

NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Rashid Shaheed's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 26.4.
This year, the deficient Patriots pass defense has surrendered a massive 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-highest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The Saints O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Rashid Shaheed's 64.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 81.7% rate.
The New England Patriots linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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