Rashid Shaheed Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Rashid Shaheed

NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+112/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Rashid Shaheed to accumulate 7.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.
This year, the weak New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a whopping 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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