Rashid Shaheed Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Rashid Shaheed

NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the league (73%) vs. wide receivers this year (73.0%).
The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The New Orleans Saints O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the quickest in football since the start of last season.

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