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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • After accumulating 33.0 air yards per game last season, Rashid Shaheed has seen a big uptick this season, now averaging 74.0 per game.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 26.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 64.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 81.7% rate.
  • Rashid Shaheed's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 8.64 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.92 rate last year.
  • Rashid Shaheed has been among the bottom WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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