Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a stellar 80.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging a stellar 11.44 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The Buccaneers pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 8.22 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Rashid Shaheed has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, playing on 53.7% of snaps vs just 35.0% last season.
The Saints O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the worst WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.78 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in football.