Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.98 seconds per snap.
Rashid Shaheed's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 81.7% to 89.3%.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a stellar 12.62 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, giving up 9.36 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.88 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the weakest wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.