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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 63.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Rashid Shaheed has posted many more air yards this season (74.0 per game) than he did last season (33.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Rashid Shaheed's 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a noteable regression in his receiving ability over last season's 81.7% figure.

Rashid Shaheed's 8.7 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates an impressive decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 11.9 figure.

Rashid Shaheed rates as one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

The Falcons defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 129.0) to WRs this year.

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