Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Rashid Shaheed

NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have been faced with a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 135.0) to WRs this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in football (60.2%) vs. WRs this year (60.2%).

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