Rashee Rice Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Touchdowns

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Rashee Rice Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.5 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 58.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
While Rashee Rice has garnered 19.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Kansas City's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game at 30.8%.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.9 per game) since the start of last season.
With a remarkable rate of 0.12 rushing TDs per game (100th percentile), Rashee Rice has been as one of the top rushing TD-scorers in the NFL among WRs and TEs last year.
Since the start of last season, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders run defense has yielded a staggering 1.20 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

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