Rashee Rice Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Rashee Rice Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
With an excellent 79.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (95th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice rates among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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