Rashee Rice Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashee Rice Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Rashee Rice is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing a stellar 79.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
The Broncos pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.1%) to wideouts this year (76.1%).
The Broncos linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.

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