Rashee Rice Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rashee Rice Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Jets pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.9%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (62.9%).
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, New York's CB corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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