Rashee Rice Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Rashee Rice Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+116/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -157 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Rashee Rice is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 86th percentile among WRs with 7.9 targets.
The model projects Rashee Rice to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense in this game (20.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played).
With an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice rates among the leading WRs in the league in the league.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Buffalo's CB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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