Rashard Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Rashard Higgins

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Rashard Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Rashard Higgins has been among the worst WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.0%).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 7.74 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.84 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-least in football.