Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Rashaad Penny

NFL · Player Props

Rashaad Penny

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+109/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rashaad Penny to total 13.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Rashaad Penny has been a more important option in his offense's running game this year (61.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (47.2%).
Rashaad Penny has picked up 69.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (85th percentile).
Rashaad Penny's rushing efficiency (5.65 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (90th percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 4.18 yards-per-carry.

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