Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Rashaad Penny

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rashaad Penny has been given 49.0% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Rashaad Penny has grinded out 65.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (96th percentile).
Rashaad Penny's rushing efficiency (5.66 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (98th percentile among RBs).
Rashaad Penny has been among the best RBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 4.47 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-most yards in the league (134 per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.