Randall Cobb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-141/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Randall Cobb has accrued significantly more air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Randall Cobb has been among the top wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 77th percentile.
The Detroit Lions defense has yielded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in football (181.0) vs. WRs this year.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Randall Cobb's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.8% to 71.0%.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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