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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • Randall Cobb has put up significantly more air yards this year (46.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • Randall Cobb's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 22.8.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Randall Cobb's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.8% to 70.6%.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has shown strong efficiency against WRs this year, conceding 7.77 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in football.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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