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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Randall Cobb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+287/-499).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +332 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +287.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Randall Cobb to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (12.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Randall Cobb has compiled many more air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (33.0 per game).
  • Randall Cobb's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 76.6% to 84.7%.
  • The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 4th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
  • Randall Cobb grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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