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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Raheem Mostert to accrue 13.1 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • Raheem Mostert has garnered 54.7% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
  • Raheem Mostert's 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a significant improvement in his running prowess over last year's 54.0 figure.
  • Raheem Mostert's running effectiveness has gotten better this year, compiling 5.65 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.78 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 36.3% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

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