Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to accumulate 14.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Raheem Mostert has earned 61.7% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (158 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have gone for it on 4th down a measly 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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