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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.

Raheem Mostert has averaged 51.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (75th percentile).

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering 5.71 yards-per-carry.

The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the worst unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.7 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (42.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (57.7% in games he has played).

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

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