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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to garner 16.0 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.

The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

The Denver Broncos safeties rank as the 28th-worst unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.

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