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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

This year, the imposing New York Giants run defense has allowed a mere 5.58 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 32nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least run-centric team in the league (36.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The model projects Rachaad White to be a much smaller part of his team's run game in this contest (26.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.1% in games he has played).

Rachaad White's 34.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a significant drop-off in his running skills over last season's 58.0 rate.

With an atrocious rate of 3.81 adjusted yards per carry (11th percentile) this year, Rachaad White places among the weakest RBs in the league at the position.

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